PUBLICATIONSPeer reviewed journal papers about the construction of FORESEE: Kern, A., Dobor, L., Hollós, R., Marjanovic, H., Torma, Cs.Zs., Kis, A., Fodor, N., Barcza, Z., 2024. Seamlessly combined historical and projected daily meteorological datasets for impact studies in Central Europe: the FORESEE v4.0 and the FORESEE-HUN v1.0. Climate Services 33, 100443. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100443 Dobor, L., Barcza, Z., Hlásny T., Havasi Á., Horváth F., Ittzés P., Bartholy J., 2014. Bridging the gap between climate models and impact studies: The FORESEE Database, Geosci Data J 2:1-11. https://doi.org/10.1002/gdj3.22 [PDF] [Supplement] Conference proceeding about the newer updated versions of the FOREESEE: Kern,
A., Dobor, L., Horváth, F., Hollós, R., Márta,
G., Barcza, Z., 2019. FORESEE: egy publikus meteorológiai adatbázis
a Kárpát-medence tágabb térségére
(extended abstract). Az elmélet és a gyakorlat találkozása
a térinformatikában. Szerk.: Molnár Vanda Éva,
ISBN: 978-963-318-054-9., Debrecen Egyetemi Kiadó, 2019. X.
Térinformatikai Konferencia és Szakkiállítás.
Debrecen, 2019. május 23-24. http://giskonferencia.unideb.hu/arch/GIS_Konf_kotet_2019.pdf.
131-138 p. Peer reviewed journal papers about the application of FORESEE: 2025: Halassy, M., Krpán, E., Csákvári, E., Török, K., 2025. Mowing increases the vulnerability of sand grassland restoration to secondary invasion despite the sensitivity of invasive species to drought. Global Ecology and Conservation, 60, e03588. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2025.e03588 Ofosu-Brakoh, A.A., Bede-Fazekas, Á., Korponai, J. et al., 2025. Late Holocene hemp (Cannabis sativa) retting in NE Hungary and the Holocene spread of hemp cultivation in eastern-central Europe. Veget Hist Archaeobot. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00334-025-01046-7 Simon, Cs., Torma, Cs.Zs., Kis, A., 2025. On the choice of reference database and calibration period of bias-corrected simulations: A case study for Hungary. Hun Geo Bull, 74(1) 3-21. https://doi.org/10.15201/hungeobull.74.1.1 Minárik, M., Kišš, V., Ziernicka-Wojtaszek, A., Prèík, M., Èimo, J., Mikulová, K., 2025. From Optimism to Risk: The Impact of Climate Change on Temperature Sums in Central Europe. Climate, 13(3), 49. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli13030049 Lakatos, L., Nagy, R., 2025. Assessment of historical and future changes in temperature indices for winegrape suitability in Hungarian wine regions (1971–2100). Front. Plant Sci. 16:1481431. doi: 10.3389/fpls.2025.1481431 Pokovai, K., Piepho, HP., Hartung, J. et al., 2025. Climate change-related lessons learned from a long-term field experiment with maize. Agron. Sustain. Dev. 45, 19. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13593-025-01013-6 2024: Dobor, L., Baldo, M., Bílek, L., Barka, I., Máliš, F., Štìpánek, P., & Hlásny, T., 2024. The interacting effect of climate change and herbivory can trigger large-scale transformations of European temperate forests. Global Change Biology, 30, e17194. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17194 Herceg,
A., Kalicz, P., Gribovszki, Z., 2024. A klímaváltozás
vízmérlegre gyakorolt hatásának elõrejelzése
egy gyepborítású tesztparcellán. 2020-2022: Kern, A., Barcza, Z., Hollós, R., Birinyi, E., Marjanovic, H., 2022. Critical Climate Periods Explain a Large Fraction of the Observed Variability in Vegetation State. Remote Sensing 14(21), 5621. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14215621 Bognár, P., Kern, A., Pásztor, Sz., Steinbach, P., Lichtenberger, J., 2022. Testing the robust yield estimation method for winter wheat, corn, rapeseed, and sunflower with different vegetation indices and meteorological data. Remote Sensing 14(12):2860. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14122860 Horel, Á., Zsigmond, T., Farkas, C., Gelybó, G., Tóth, E., Kern, A., Bakacsi, Z., 2022. Climate Change Alters Soil Water Dynamics under Different Land Use Types. Sustainability 14, 3908. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14073908 Ostrogovic
Sever, M.Z., Barcza, Z., Hidy, D., Kern, A., Dimoski, D., Miko, S.,
Hasan, O., Grahovac, B., Marjanovic, H., 2021. Evaluation of the Terrestrial
Ecosystem Model Biome-BGCMuSo for Modelling Soil Organic Carbon under
Different Land Uses. Land 10, 968. https://doi.org/10.3390/land10090968 Dávid, R.Á., Barcza, Z., Kern, A., Kristóf, E., Hollós, R., Kis, A., Lukac, M., Fodor, N., 2021. Sensitivity of spring phenology simulations to the selection of model structure and driving meteorological data. Atmosphere 12(8), 963; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12080963 Fodor, N., Pásztor, L., Szabó, B., Laborczi, A., Pokovai, K., Hidy, D., Hollós, R., Kristóf, E., Kis, A., Dobor, L., Kern, A., Grünwald, T., Barcza, Z., 2021. Input database related uncertainty of Biome-BGCMuSo agro-environmental model outputs. International Journal of Digital Earth 1-20, https://doi.org/10.1080/17538947.2021.1953161 Kostic, S., Orlovic, S., Karaklic, V., Kesic, L., Zoric, M., Stojanovic, D.B., 2021. Allometry and Post-Drought Growth Resilience of Pedunculate Oak (Quercus robur L.) Varieties. Forests 12, 930. https://doi.org/10.3390/f12070930 Kern, A., Marjanovic, H., Csóka, Gy., Hirka, A., Matoševic, D., Pernek, M., Paulin, M., Móricz, N., Kovac, G, 2021. Detecting the Oak lace bug infestation in oak forests using MODIS and meteorological data. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 306, 108436. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2021.108436 Marton,
T.A., Kis, A., Zubor-Nemes, A., Kern, A., Fodor, N., 2020. Human Impact
Promotes Sustainable Corn Production in Hungary. Sustainability
12(17), 6784. Kern, A., Marjanovic, H., Barcza, Z., 2020. Spring vegetation green-up dynamics in Central Europe based on 20-year long MODIS NDVI data. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 287, 107969. doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.107969. [link to paper] 2014-2018: Kern, A., Barcza, Z., Marjanovic, H., Árendás, T., Fodor, N., Bónis, P., Bognár, P., Lichtenberger, J., 2018. Statistical modelling of crop yield in Central Europe using climate data and remote sensing vegetation indices. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 260-261, 300-320. doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.06.009 [link to paper] Kern, A., Marjanovic, H., Dobor, L., Aniæ, M., Hlásny, T., Barcza, Z., 2017. Identification of Years with Extreme Vegetation State in Central Europe Based on Remote Sensing and Meteorological Data. South-east European forestry (SEEFOR) 8 (1), 1-20p. (ISSN: 1847-6481, eISSN: 1849-0891) DOI: https://doi.org/10.15177/seefor.17-05 [link to paper] Kern, A., Marjanovic, H., Barcza, Z., 2016. Evaluation of the quality of NDVI3g dataset against Collection 6 MODIS NDVI in Central-Europe between 2000 and 2013. Remote Sensing 8(11) 955, doi:10.3390/rs8110955. [link to paper] Hlásny, T., Trombik, J., Dobor, L., Barcza, Z., Barka, I. 2016. Future climate of the Carpathians: Climate change hot-spots and implications for ecosystems. Reg Environ Change 16: 1495-1506. doi:10.1007/s10113-015-0890-2 [link to_paper] Dobor, L., Barcza, Z., Hlásny, T., Árendás, T., Spitkó, T., Fodor, N. 2016. Crop planting date matters: estimation methods and effect on future yields. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 223: 103-115. doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.03.023 [link_to_paper] Farkas, Cs., Gelybó, Gy., Bakacsi, Zs., Horel, Á., Hagyó, A., Dobor, L., Kása, I., Tóth, E., 2014. Impact of expected climate change on soil water regime under different vegetation conditions. Biologia 69(11): 1510-1519, IF :0.6. doi:10.2478/s11756-014-0463-8 [link to paper] Conference proceedings: Dobor, L., Barcza, Z., Havasi, Á., Hlásny, T., 2012. Construction of a daily meteorological database for climate change related impact studies. In: Proceedings, The Atmosphere as risk and resource (eds.: Mika, J. et al.). 23 November, 2012, Eger, Hungary. CD-ROM [PDF] Dobor, L., Barcza, Z., Hlásny, T., Havasi, Á., 2013. Creation of the FORESEE database to support climate change related impact studies In: Proceedings, International Scientific Conference for PhD Students, March 19-20, 2013, Gyõr, Hungary [PDF] Conference posters: Dobor, L., Barcza, Z., Havasi, Á., Fodor, N., 2012. Preparation of high resolution climate scenarios for agricultural impact analysis in Hungary (poster). European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2012, Vienna, Austria, 22-27 April 2012. [JPG] Dobor, L., Barcza, Z., Hidy, D., Fodor, N., Horváth, F., Tóth, E., Gelybó, Gy., Farkas, Cs., 2014. Modeling water and carbon balance of managed agricultural lands in Hungary. 4th iLEAPS Science Conference: Terrestrial ecosystems, atmosphere, and people in the Earth system. Nanjing, China. 12-16 May 2014. [link to poster] Additional applications of FORESEE: Kern, A., Marjanovic, H., Dobor, L., Barcza. Z. 2016. The effect of precipitation and temperature anomalies for the Central-European forests based on Collection 6 MODIS data (poster). European Geosciences Union, General Assembly 2016, Vienna, Austria, 18-22 April 2016. Kern, A., Marjanovic, H., Barcza, Z., Dobor, L., 2015. Forest phenology in central-europe based on modis data. (poster) Euforia: European Forest Research and Innovation, Final EUFORINNO conference. Rogla, Slovenia. 31 August - 4 September 2015. Barcza, Z., Dobor, L., Hlasny, T., Galvánek, D., 2013. Assessment of future production and carbon sequestration of grasslands in the Carpathians. (poster) Open Science Conference: Greehouse Gas Management in European Land Use Systems Antwerp, Belgium, 16-18 September 2013. [PDF] Trombik, J., Hlásny, T., Dobor, L., Barcza, Z., 2013: Climatic exposure of forests int he Carpathians: Exposure maps and anticipated developement. In: Proceedings, International Scientific Conference for PhD Students, March 19-20, 2013, Gyõr, Hungary [PDF] Hlásny, T., Mátyás, Cs., Seidl, R., Kulla, L., Merganicová, K., Trombik, J., Dobor, L., Barcza, Z., Konopka, B., 2014. Climate change increases the drought risk in Central European forests: what are the options for adaptation? Lesn Cas For J 60:1-14 [link to paper] Dobor, L., Barcza, Z., Havasi, Á., Fodor, N., Hlásny, T., 2012. Impact of climate change on agricultural production in Hungary. (poster) 12th EMS Annual Meeting / 9th European Conference on Applied Climatology (ECAC). £odz, Poland. 10-14 September 2012. [JPG]
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